The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecasted significantly low rainfall for the 2026 southwest monsoon due to the El Nino effect in the Pacific Ocean. Rainfall is expected to be around 90% of the average, raising concerns of a drought-like situation, which last occurred in 2015. This deficiency is likely to impact agricultural production, lead to inflation in food prices, and potentially lower the country's GDP growth. Experts note that no favorable conditions in the Indian Ocean are currently present to offset the El Nino impact.
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