Weather for Cape Canaveral, FL:
Arun Mishra Arun Mishra Show
Current Conditions: Mostly sunny, 83°F (28°C)
Daily Forecast:
* Wednesday, June 25: Low: 74°F (24°C), High: 88°F (31°C), Description: Partly sunny
* Thursday, June 26: Low: 74°F (23°C), High: 87°F (31°C), Description: Sun and some clouds with a thunderstorm in spots
* Friday, June 27: Low: 74°F (23°C), High: 88°F (31°C), Description: Rather cloudy with a heavy thunderstorm around in the afternoon; slow-moving thunderstorms can bring flooding downpours
* Saturday, June 28: Low: 73°F (23°C), High: 90°F (32°C), Description: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a thunderstorm in the afternoon
* Sunday, June 29: Low: 75°F (24°C), High: 88°F (31°C), Description: Times of clouds and sun; a couple of morning showers followed by a couple of thunderstorms in the afternoon
* Monday, June 30: Low: 74°F (24°C), High: 89°F (32°C), Description: Partly sunny with a thunderstorm in the afternoon
* Tuesday, July 1: Low: 73°F (23°C), High: 91°F (33°C), Description: Times of clouds and sun; a morning shower in spots followed by a thunderstorm in parts of the area in the afternoon
Here’s a concise breakdown for SpaceX’s upcoming **Axiom-4 mission** launch weather:
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## 🌦 Weather Outlook & Launch Window Viability
* **Today through next week**, afternoons likely bring **scattered thunderstorms**, especially from **Friday onward**.
* **Morning hours** remain more favorable with **partly sunny to cloudy skies**, lower wind shear, and minimal precipitation—supporting good launch conditions early in the day.
* This pattern aligns with SpaceX's forecast: **90% favorable weather**, assuming they plan the launch during a **morning window** to avoid afternoon storms.
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## ⚠️ Key Weather Considerations
* **Afternoon Thunderstorms**: Stalled systems could threaten an afternoon launch; careful window selection will be critical.
* **Sea & Lake Breezes** in summer may introduce additional instability.
* **Lightning Risk**: Central Florida is prone to lightning this time of year—launch rules prohibit liftoff during or close to such conditions.
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## ✅ Launch Chances & Planning Insight
* If scheduled for a **morning lift-off**, the forecast supports **high confidence in favorable weather (≈90%)**.
* A **mid-day or afternoon slot**, however, increases the risk of scrub or postponement due to storm activity.
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## 🧭 What to Watch Next
1. **Watch Projected Launch Time**: Confirmation of morning vs afternoon slot will refine odds.
2. **Latest Local Forecasts**: Each preceding day may bring narrower insight on storm paths – SpaceX will keep updated.
3. **T‑0 Decision**: Final weather “go/no-go” call typically comes **1–2 hours before launch**, based on real-time radar and conditions.
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**Bottom line**: The current meteorological outlook supports SpaceX’s high confidence—**Axiom‑4 has roughly a 90% weather-favorable window** if they target an early start. Afternoon storms won't likely spoil a thoughtfully scheduled lift-off.
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